Should local zoning rules be loosened to allow more apartments?
Poll
What would do most to make housing affordable?
How the odds moved
What will the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average in the United States be on February 25, 2027, according to Freddie Mac?
Below 6.0% 25%6.0% to 7.0% 54%Above 7.0% 21%
No moves yet. The odds change only when one of the events below is confirmed by at least two outlets or an official source.
What would move the odds
These are possible future events Zoose is watching for, not news. None has happened unless it is marked Confirmed.
Possible · not happened65% chance
Fed cuts rates by 25+ bps in DecemberIf it happens:↑ Below 6.0%↓ Above 7.0%
Will it happen by Feb 25?
Possible · not happened18% chance
10-year Treasury yield drops below 3.5%If it happens:↑ Below 6.0%↓ 6.0% to 7.0%↓ Above 7.0%
Will it happen by Feb 25?
Possible · not happened12% chance
Year-over-year CPI exceeds 3.0% in JanuaryIf it happens:↑ Above 7.0%↓ Below 6.0%
Will it happen by Feb 25?
Possible · not happened25% chance
Existing home sales increase 5% month-over-monthIf it happens:↑ Below 6.0%↓ Above 7.0%
Will it happen by Feb 25?
Started at 25% / 54% / 21% on Oct 19. Each event can fire once.
Make your forecast
Scenarios to Feb 25, 2027
What will the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average in the United States be on February 25, 2027, according to Freddie Mac?
Below 6.0%
25%
6.0% to 7.0%
54%
Above 7.0%
21%
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.
Discussion
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New forecast: What will the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average in the United States be on February 25, 2027, according to Freddie Mac? Starting odds: Below 6.0% 25%, 6.0% to 7.0% 54%, Above 7.0% 21%.