Egypt's top security body says it has agreed to support Saudi Arabia against Iran-backed Houthi rebels, as drones targeted Riyadh and Saudi-led forces launched airstrikes to break the Houthi siege of Taiz. Civilians are bearing the cost: an airstrike killed at least nine people in Houthi-held Yemen, fires were reported on three tankers, and DW reports that Houthi attacks on strategic Saudi assets threaten Riyadh's economic standing. Watch Russia's top diplomat's visit to Tehran, which he says aims to avert a return to major hostilities, as CNN reports the US is considering using its biggest non-nuclear bomb against Iran if President Trump decides to renew combat.
8 stories say getting worse
Reported by several outletsWill the United States conduct a direct military strike against Iranian territory by March 1, 2027?
No moves yet. The odds change only when one of the events below is confirmed by at least two outlets or an official source.
These are possible future events Zoose is watching for, not news. None has happened unless it is marked Confirmed.
Started at 28% / 72% on Oct 16. Each event can fire once.
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.
New forecast: Will the United States conduct a direct military strike against Iranian territory by March 1, 2027? Starting odds: Yes, US strike occurs 28%, No US strike occurs 72%.
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Iran conflict
Egypt's top security body says it has agreed to support Saudi Arabia in its fight against Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen
Iran conflict
An Austrian Airlines flight from Tel Aviv to Vienna made an emergency landing in Bulgaria after a bomb threat was reported near the Bulgarian-Romanian border. A MiG-29 fighter jet escorted the plane.
Iran conflict
Russia's top diplomat is visiting Tehran for the first time since the U.S. launched its war with Iran, aiming, he says, to avert a return to major hostilities.
Iran conflict
An airstrike has killed at least nine people in an area of Yemen controlled by Iran-backed Houthi rebels as fighting escalates with Saudi-backed forces
Iran conflict
East Potomac course in Washington DC among a number of projects Trump is pursuing to reshape landmarks Trump plans DC golf course renovation in defiance of judge’s orderSign up for US Breaking News emailThe US ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, has denounced the settler attack that left the Washington Post photojourn
Iran conflict
Mike Huckabee condemns attack on Washington Post photojournalist that has drawn lukewarm response from Israeli authorities. Plus, Japan is attempting to boldly go where no space mission has gone beforeDon’t already get First Thing in your inbox? Sign up hereGood morning. The US ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, has
Iran conflict
After Houthis escalated their attacks on Saudi Arabia, the US turned down calls from MBS for helpFor years, Saudi Arabia’s crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, cultivated a close relationship with Donald Trump and his son-in-law and former top adviser, Jared Kushner. The prince understood the president’s transactional ap
Iran conflict
Israeli police made the arrests following attacks on a US journalist and European diplomats in the occupied West Bank. Israeli human rights group Yesh Din has reported at least 170 settler attacks since September 27.
Iran conflict
For the first time, AI is playing a major role in Israel's elections. Observers warn that deepfakes, bots and influence campaigns could sway voters.
Iran conflict
Fires reported on three tankers, as masked settlers attack European politicians in the occupied West Bank.
Iran conflict
Masked Israeli settlers attacked European diplomats, a French mayor and Palestinians in the occupied West Bank.
Iran conflict
Saudi-led forces say they’ve struck multiple positions around the Yemeni city of Taiz to break the Houthi siege.
Iran conflict
The United States is considering using its biggest non-nuclear bomb against Iran if President Donald Trump should decide to renew combat in the war that has hit a deadlock, CNN reported Thursday. Diplomatic efforts to end the conflict, which erupted with US-Israeli strikes on Iran in February, have been at an impasse s
Iran conflict
In our news wrap Friday, White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia is "transitioning out" of her role after less than a week on the job, three large brush fires in Southern California are forcing people to flee their homes and dozens of Israeli settlers set cars and trees ablaze across the West Bank and attacked Pales
Iran conflict
As Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis continue to target Saudi Arabia, Riyadh's vulnerability threatens its claim on regional and religious leadership — as well as its standing as an economic powerhouse.
Iran conflict
The brutal murder of a young mother has once again sparked debate in Iran over so-called honor killings, the social acceptance of violence against women, and the lack of protection for those at risk.
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.