8 developments from 9 outlets in the past week. Recent evidence leans getting worse.
6 stories say getting worse, 1 story says getting better
Reported by several outletsWhere will 2026 rank among the warmest years on record for global average surface temperature, according to the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), as reported by January 31, 2027?
No moves yet. The odds change only when one of the events below is confirmed by at least two outlets or an official source.
These are possible future events Zoose is watching for, not news. None has happened unless it is marked Confirmed.
Started at 20% / 41% / 39% on Oct 19. Each event can fire once.
Odds move when a signpost is confirmed by the news.
New forecast: Where will 2026 rank among the warmest years on record for global average surface temperature, according to the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), as reported by January 31, 2027? Starting odds: Warmest year on record 20%, Second warmest on record 41%, Third warmest or lower 39%.
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